Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.076648 0.090422 0.105828 0.124318 0.145888 0.170242 0.199808
2025-05-25 0.053501 0.070721 0.092132 0.120633 0.157502 0.203506 0.265184
2025-06-01 0.041458 0.059866 0.084704 0.120508 0.170615 0.238045 0.335447
2025-06-08 0.033110 0.051476 0.078004 0.118846 0.179826 0.267119 0.401100
2025-06-15 0.028295 0.046887 0.075364 0.121752 0.194941 0.305350 0.483722
2025-06-22 0.023709 0.041641 0.070611 0.120277 0.202634 0.332857 0.553106
2025-06-29 0.019839 0.036776 0.065520 0.117176 0.206831 0.354821 0.615790
2025-07-06 0.016647 0.032464 0.060573 0.113361 0.208953 0.373154 0.674100
2025-07-13 0.014949 0.030535 0.059423 0.115882 0.222125 0.411298 0.770251
2025-07-20 0.013298 0.028394 0.057520 0.116652 0.232057 0.444650 0.861477
2025-07-27 0.011913 0.026535 0.055848 0.117544 0.242181 0.479261 0.958653
2025-08-03 0.010823 0.025099 0.054773 0.119405 0.254296 0.518752 1.069223
2025-08-10 0.010029 0.024203 0.054738 0.123521 0.271738 0.571035 1.211905
2025-08-17 0.008662 0.021787 0.051137 0.119597 0.272076 0.589504 1.289277
2025-08-24 0.007767 0.020316 0.049377 0.119422 0.280333 0.624988 1.405681
2025-08-31 0.006891 0.018733 0.047118 0.117764 0.285043 0.653419 1.510173
2025-09-07 0.006401 0.018036 0.046827 0.120643 0.300367 0.706381 1.673838
2025-09-14 0.005725 0.016729 0.044858 0.119181 0.305320 0.736808 1.790402
2025-09-21 0.005052 0.015310 0.042388 0.116107 0.305964 0.757419 1.886649
2025-09-28 0.004432 0.013924 0.039792 0.112325 0.304336 0.772468 1.971396
2025-10-05 0.004148 0.013464 0.039592 0.114824 0.318959 0.827923 2.159260
2025-10-12 0.003823 0.012821 0.038793 0.115587 0.329154 0.873633 2.328078
2025-10-19 0.003534 0.012237 0.038075 0.116472 0.339784 0.921568 2.507621